Elon Musk predicts World War III

by Seth Fiegerman   @sfiegerman   September 5, 2017: 10:38 AM ET

CNNMoney (New York) First published September 4, 2017: 11:36 AM ET

Tesla (TSLA) and SpaceX's CEO wasn't making doomsday predictions because North Korea is testing nuclear weapons. What's got Musk much more worried about world war is artificial intelligence.

Tesla和SpaceX’s 的執行長並非做世界末日的預言，因為北韓正在測試核武，Musk比較擔心的是人工智慧的世界大戰。

North Korea "should be low on our list of concerns for civilizational existential risk," Musk said in one of a series of posts on Twitter early Monday.

Musk週一在推特的一篇發文中談到：「在我們所擔心的文明存在風險的項目中，北韓還算是低風險的。」

"Competition for AI superiority at national level most likely cause of WW3 imo," Musk said in another tweet, using the Internet short-hand for "in my opinion."

Musk在推特的另一篇發文中說：「就我的觀點，國家層級的人工智慧優勢競爭很有可能導致第三次世界大戰。」 (imo 是網路用語 in my opinion 的簡寫)

The dire prediction was in response to a recent comment from Russian President Vladimir Putin. "Artificial intelligence is the future not only of Russia but of all of mankind," Putin said. "Whoever becomes the leader in this sphere will become the ruler of the world."

這般急迫預測是要回應俄國總統普丁最近的一個評論，普丁說：「人工智慧不只是俄國而是全人類的未來。誰變成這個領域的領導者，誰就是世界的統治者。」

At the moment, the United States, China and India are the three countries leading the AI race, according to one top tech industry executive.

根據一位頂尖科技產業的主管，目前美國、中國、及印度是人工智慧競賽的領先者。

But Musk believes others will try to catch up by any means possible. "Govts don't need to follow normal laws," he said in one tweet. "They will obtain AI developed by companies at gunpoint, if necessary."

但Musk相信其他國家會用盡手段盡可能趕上，他在一篇推特發文說：「那些政府不會遵循一般法律，如有必要，他們會以武力威脅私人公司交出所研發的人工智慧。」

In another reply on Twitter, Musk speculated that an AI system could choose to start a war "if it decides that a preemptive strike is most probable path to victory." Musk has repeatedly issued warnings about the perils of AI, calling for new regulation to keep the public safe.

Musk在另一篇推特回覆文推測：「如果人工智慧系統判定，先發制人的襲擊是最有可能勝利的途徑，它可能會選擇開戰。」 Musk曾多次警告人工智慧的危險性，要求制定新法規以保障大眾安全。

In the process, Musk has clashed with at least one fellow tech billionaire: Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg.

在他預測與警告的過程中，Musk至少與一位科技富商意見相左：臉書執行長馬克祖柏。

Zuckerberg called Musk's AI doomsday rhetoric "pretty irresponsible." Musk responded by calling Zuckerberg's understanding of the issue "limited." Musk has tried to address his AI anxieties through two new ventures: OpenAI, a non-profit AI research company, and Neuralink, a startup building device to connect the human brain with computers.

Zuckerberg稱Musk對人工智慧的末日預言說辭很不負責任，而Musk回說Zuckerberg對人工智慧的了解有限。Musk曾透過兩個新的投資事業：OpenAI (非營利的人工智慧研究公司)，及Neuralink(連結人腦與電腦的一種開創性的建置裝置)，試著聲明他對人工智慧的憂慮。

"I was trying to really sound the alarm on the AI front for quite a while, but it was clearly having no impact," he said in one interview around the launch of Neuralink. "So I was like, 'Oh fine, okay, then we'll have to try to help develop it in a way that's good.' "

在發表Neurallink裝置時的一個專訪中，他說：「我試著提出人工智慧相關警告已有一陣子了，但顯然都沒有造成什麼影響，所以我只好想，好吧！那我們必須朝好的方向來發展人工智慧了。」 

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